The total time taken until the two warnings are given, i.e. 25.7% of WRs in the 96th-100th percentile had at least one WR1 fantasy season. Hes 15 pounds lighter than Engram, who is the lightest TE in our database with at least one TE1 season. Catch Rate captures a players ability to secure the football in all situations regardless of the level of difficulty by dividing the total receptions by total targets. to back it up - even against top competition. Jake Funks 6.71 3-Cone ranks 13th-best since 2000, and, if weight-adjusted, 15th-best since 2000. Hell be a top-7 pick Kenneth Murray and Patrick Queen pulled up with hamstring injuries but did enough before leaving to earn 88th percentile and 81st percentile Adjusted SPARQ scores Willie Gay saw his stock climb at the Combine with an 94th percentile score. Finally, they must switch direction and run another 5yards to the starting point. Jaelon Darden (ADP: WR19) posted a 18.3 SPORQ score. He, alongside a few other of the industrys best talent evaluators and NFL Draft prognosticators, played a key role in helping me calculate an important but ultimately minor variable in this phase of the process expected draft capital. Scott Barrett combines a unique background in philosophy and investing alongside a lifelong love of football and spreadsheets to serve as FantasyPoints Director of Analytics and Lead DFS Writer. 34.5% of the RBs in the 90th-100th percentile had at least one RB1 fantasy season. Danny Pinter, Damien Lewis, and Matt Hennessy looked good out there But its important to remember that athleticism is a very small portion of an interior linemans total evaluation. For example, a 20-yard touchdown reception gets your receiver 9 points in PPR leagues, but the team was already going to score a FG, maybe even a touchdown, when they're 20 yards from the end zone. PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links. Watch live streaming. Even Daniel Thomas, LJarius Sneed, Antoine Brooks, and KVon Wallace finished as top 74th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athletes Xavier McKinney finishing in the 8th percentile will most likely prevent him from being a Day 1 prospect in my model, but its important to remember how little athleticism matters for safety. Josh Imatorbhebhes 180.5 burst score ranks 5th-best since 2000. Formula is as follows: Mass (lb) / Height (in)^2 x 703. In North Carolinas run heavy offense, Brown hit 1,000 receiving yards in back-to-back seasons with 20+ yards per reception in both years. Because Nikes actual SPARQ formula is not public, we compared publicallyavailable SPARQ scores to their related input factors, reverse-engineered anapproximation of the SPARQ formula, and then applied the formula to eachplayers workout metrics. The scouts are on to him and I believe he had great workout numbers. Darius Slayton (age 21.6) led the team, turning 72 targets into 670 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. I liked the way Cominsky moved. True Yards Per Carry popularized by Zach Krueger in a piece written for PlayerProfiler, True YPC discounts all runs greater than 10 yards. Both Matt Ryan and Giovanni Carmazza scored a 32. Pitts 129.0 broad jump ranks 8th-best since 2000. (We already know hes a freak athlete, and hes a Round 1 lock based on expected draft capital.). Unlike with Harris and Waddle, this was not because of a pre-existing injury, this was by choice. Rondale Moores 6.68 ranks 50th-best. All rights are reserved Powered by WordPress. Prior to the height-based adjustment, he ranked 6th-best. But I kept these numbers the same partly because you can adjust them from here on your own if you so choose. He ranks behind Robert Griffin III (126.9) and Michael Vick (119.5), and just ahead of Cam Newton (114.72) and Vince Young (113.7). Pooka Williams (ADP: RB16) posted a 13.9 SPORQ score. Scores under 20 indicate that a player may be challenged to process information on-the-fly. Boyd, Felton, and Williams are now fully off my board. I found this article very compelling, arguing that we should not adjust or devalue a players 2021s Pro Day numbers. Slot Rate - the percentage of passing down snaps a wide receiver or tight end lines up in the slot. From 2018-2019, he led the team, averaging 54.4 receiving YPG, just ahead of sixth-round pick Donovan Peoples-Jones (same age), who averaged 43.8 YPG. Elijah Moore (ADP: WR7) has been knocked for his size (59, 178 pounds), and that did hurt him somewhat in my model (falling from 88.4 to 81.6), but he also posted the best 3-Cone (6.67), the 2nd-best short shuttle (4.00), and the 4th-best 40 in this class (4.35), which is exactly what he needed to do to alleviate those concerns. WebThis week the NFL Draft 2021: The Latest Picks and Analysis; An analysis on Kwity Paye; The Kansas City Chiefs return to the Super Bowl for the first time since 1969; Chicago I really don't understand why everyone keeps putting Hollins as an off-ball LB. We've seen how important having that bend around the corner can be, and JaMarr Chases 4.34 ranks 37th-best since 2000 (96th percentile). A pace above 2.50 is considered a very fast pace and under 2.00 is a very slow pace. Total QBR Total QBR was developed by ESPNs Stats & Information Group to measure the degree to which a quarterback contributed to scoring points for the team, and also to a win by the team. Money Throw A completed passs requiring exceptional skill or athleticism as well as critical completions in clutch moments during the game. 1 WR and/or a high caliber contributor. Age is calculated for each player as of September 2020. Stuck behind David Montgomery and then Breece Hall at Iowa State, Nwangwu didnt see very many touches (career-high 64 touches in 2020), but was efficient on those touches (5.2 career YPC). This total Lifetime Value is also discounted based on the age-based production curve outlined in the Dynasty Dominator Guide enhancing the value the most precocious players such as Saquon Barkley and JuJu Smith-Schuster. Couldn't agree more. Albert O was the only tight end to finish above the 75th percentile level Hunter Bryant, Harrison Bryant, and Jared Pinkney watched their stocks drop with sub-20th percentile athleticism. He was also an immediate starter and meaningful contributor for Auburn, totaling 117 YFS and two total touchdowns in his first game. Athletes in the 20-30 range possess solid functional intelligence. Oregon went to the 3-4 in 2017/18 and he moved back to OLB. That would give Harris a 96th-percentile Speed Score at the position, and maybe the best ever short shuttle in Combine history at any position if he did in fact run a 3.70 shuttle a truly unfathomable mark, let alone for a player his size. Smith still ranks quite high by projected draft capital (WR3, Round 1), so the NFL doesnt seem to be as concerned with Smiths athleticism as they (presumably) were with Tyler Johnsons. turn into something. He led Illinois in receiving in both 2019 and 2020, recording yardage share numbers of (adjusting for missed games) 32.5% (2019) and 26.9% (2020). Wex might be right. Pace of Play - Total plays per minute. On the other hand, a 20-yard reception on 3rd and 10 at midfield nets only 3 PPR fantasy points, but it turns a likely blown drive into at least a field goal opportunity. WebWelcome to Relative Athletic Scores! He played off the ball very well in the Shrine Game, and it was good to see that versatility, considering the Steelers go to it. It's always interesting to dig into the SPARQ scores Reportedly, Harris has been clocked at 4.45 in the 40-yard-dash and 3.7 in the short shuttle. Comparing Alfred Morris and Roy Helus 2013 usage help to illuminate the utility of this metric. Fehoko Overall, athleticism is still just a small part of a prospects total profile, but I prefer Adjusted SPARQ to other composite athletic scores. Williams (0.4 years older than Schwartz) averaged 64.3 YPG through three seasons at Auburn, compared to Schwartzs 43.4 YPG. You can find that stat and our historical Combine database here. I have my personal If you disagree, thats fine and I totally understand the logic there. Since 1995, the only sub-180-pound RB to hit triple-digit fantasy points in a single season is Dexter McCluster, who accomplished this feat only once. In todays article well be breaking down the 2021 class by SPORQ score. He had turned 18 just three days prior. Kadarius Toneys 175.5 ranks 11th-best. Mac Jones averaged 1.1 rushing FPG in 2020. Terrace Marshall (ADP: WR6) was another big winner. A recording is played, giving instruction, and the athlete(s) must proceed to run 20meters at the sound of a beep. EPA helps fantasy gamers understand the players that actually help an NFL team win games. But the main point is everyone calls him slight but no one has seen him play with the added weight. He played as a down defensive end in a 4-3 in 2016. Of the likely Round 1 QBs in 2021, Mac Jones (4.82) and Justin Fields (4.46) were the only ones to run the 40-yard-dash at their Pro Day. Accuracy Rating grades the accuracy each of throw on a 1-10 scale. The far majority of RBs, WRs, and TEs who posted a great production score in college and a great athleticism score at the Combine were great players for fantasy. Looks explosive. Looks explosive. Yards Created are accrued after the running back's first evaded tackle. Chases 173.0 ranks 20th-best. Terms of Use https://www.playerprofiler.com/terms-of-use/, The Catch Radius Project: In Search of Better TD Production, introduction to the predictive qualities of air yards on RotoViz.com, https://www.playerprofiler.com/terms-of-use/. Who has the most serious red flags? Follow him on Twitter @HaydenWinks. How to read this: Danny Pinter is a 94th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete.. Chase (3.99) is one of only 39 WRs to post a short shuttle time under 4.00. That said, its also far from irrelevant. Overall, this edge class stinks and didnt help themselves at the Combine Chase Young didnt test, but he doesnt have to after destroying the Big Ten last season It was the Tier 2 edge rushers who were so disappointing. Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. Blaine Gabbert crushed the Wonderlic with a score of 42, so he has that going for him. Man, what an absolute freak of nature. Non-explosive athletes dont rush the passer (in general). Hopefully he can improve at his Pro Day, or its impossible to give him a top-10 overall grade. Thats where Adjusted SPARQ comes in. Epenesa arguably lost the most money last week of anyone who tested, finishing as a 17th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete. What do you guys think about Brian Burns? High week-to-week volatility negatively impacts standard league formats that require lineups to be manually set each week. Chris Evans 167.5 burst score ranks best in this class and 17th-best since 2000. ", "Mike Mitchell, former Ohio State, Texas Tech linebacker, at peace at Southeastern", "Athletic Assessment Protocols - SPARQ Training", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=SPARQ_Training&oldid=1147783844, Defunct manufacturing companies of the United States, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, Yo-Yo Intermittent Recovery Test or YIRT (, This page was last edited on 2 April 2023, at 04:33. Thats where Adjusted SPARQ comes in. Stevenson, who I liked even more than my model did, also fell, but not as far. The pool of players included in the percentile ranks consists of those currently signed to active and futures contracts. The higher the higher the percentage of completed air yards to total yards, the less a quarterback is being helped by his receivers gaining yards after the catch. Mitchell's 40 time, coupled with his performances in the vertical jump, the agility shuttle and the kneeling power ball toss, earned him a score of 154.47, which earned I didnt think it was possible, but I like Pitts even more now than I did several weeks ago. Agility Score Agility Score is simply the sum of a players 20-Yard Short Shuttle time and 3-Cone Drill times. Here are the results of the 2020 NFL Draft Class: How to read this: A.J. From an athletic-standpoint, only Vernon Davis ranks higher by SPORQ (of 375 qualifiers since 2000). In this class, he ranks behind only Kene Nwangwu and Travis Etienne by SPORQ score, and he now sits at RB9 in my rankings. and this is a very comprehensive list. It factors weight into a players 40-yard dash time assigning a premium to fast times run by bigger, often spaner, running backs. Overall, this offensive tackle class is awesome, especially at the top All of the first round prospects finished as above-average athletes, including Mekhi Becton (100th percentile) and Tristan Wirfs (97th) who were breathtakingly fast for their size. Happy Draft Week 2023! SPARQ-x -An approximation of Nikes SPARQ Rating (acronym it stands for: Speed,Power, Agility, Reaction and Quickness), a project started in 2004 to create astandardized test for athleticism similar to an SAT test for athletes. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Waddle is still recovering from the injury (a high ankle sprain plus fracture, which required surgery) that caused him to miss a bulk of the 2020 season. After an elite showing at his Pro Day, recording a class-high 98.0 SPORQ score, I like Chase even more now, and I didnt even think that could be possible. This would rank tied with Marshall for 2nd-best since 2000. And Smith surely does not have Jacksons 4.35 wheels. On the other hand, high volatility is preferred in best-ball formats that automatically set optimal weekly lineups. Because if you add in the elite 40-time and the strong SPORQ score (85.8) in spite of the size concerns, he looks like an extremely high-level prospect. Michael Carters 3.98 short shuttle ranks 8th-best since 2000. I have Friermuth ranked as my TE2 in this class in a tier alongside Long. For perspective, in their best collegiate seasons, Lamar Jackson averaged 24.2 rushing FPG, Taysom Hill averaged 19.8, Jalen Hurts averaged 18.7, Kyler Murray averaged 12.8, Josh Allen averaged 8.1, and Joe Burrow averaged 7.6. Remember NIKE developed the SPARQ with three goals in mind: 1) To sell stuff, 2) To What do you guys think about Brian Burns? [1] In the past years over 44,000 athletes have been assessed and received SPARQ ratings.[4]. And then a far less-exciting Little 3, consisting of Gainwell, Carter, and Sermon. I find it a better way to compare SPARQ scores. Javian Hawkins (ADP: RB13), my pre-Combine RB7, posted a 29.4 SPORQ score. Catch Radius first discussed by Scott Smith in a piece titled The Catch Radius Project: In Search of Better TD Production, the metric incorporates a players ability to cover ground as well as his ability to get vertical in order to score a players capacity to reaching the football in a 3-dimensional space. This probably means hes not close to the prospect Montgomery was or that Hall is, but few are, Evans, a former 4-star prospect, started in only six of 42 career games, and will be 24 years old as a rookie in 2021. The Yo-Yo Intermittent Recovery Test is a test measuring an athlete's aerobic power and execution upon the changing of direction. We hope you're enjoying this old content for FREE. Ill typically penalize a player for not participating in their Pro Day, but the shoulder injury is a legitimate concern (causing him to miss five games last year), so I chose not to in this instance. Player Popularity Index measures how popular a player's page has been in the last 10 days. This means that a 0.0 z-score and Rhamondre Stevenson (ADP: RB10) posted a 46.4 SPORQ score. SPARQ's business were focused on the rating system and selling advanced functional fitness training equipment. What wildly increased his value was putting on 21 pounds since the end of the season and then posting the numbers he did with that extra weight. Negative values indicate a player underperformed touchdown expectations due to inefficient play and bad luck. I concluded the article saying basically this. Hell have to improve at his Pro Day to regain his Day 1 status Terrell Lewis and Yetur Gross-Matos did okay in the drills they participated in, but they didnt run the forty Luckily, Jabari Zuniga, Casey Toohill, James Smith-Williams, and Carter Coughlin all finished inside the 80th percentile as above-average athletes for the position. True Catch Rate reception percentage based solely on catchable targets. The best score in the history of the NFL was Harvard graduate Ryan Fitzpatricks 48. And had he run, its possible Harris might look like an even better prospect than the one he already is (4th-best since 2015, per my Pre-Combine model). Coverage Rating Comprehensive cornerback efficiency metric incorporating target rate, pass break-ups, catch rate allowed, and fantasy points allowed per snap. For instance, here is a video of Waddle racing speedster Henry Ruggs in the 40 (which resulted in a tie). Hell be a top-7 pick Kenneth Hes jumped from WR9 in my rankings to WR7. I didnt think the tape was good, and the athleticism was really bad Albert Okwuegbunam crushed the weight-adjusted forty, and then called it a day (probably because he has below-average agility). Hes going to be drafted on Day 3; a team will take a flier on him for his athleticism, but hes a longshot to ever return meaningful fantasy production. Opportunity Share percentage of total team running back carries + targets for a particular back. Hell join a team in 2021, but its unlikely he ever contributes beyond special teams, Strachan is the biggest WR in this class at 65 and 226 lbs but also one of the oldest (23.7). Fantasy Points Per Attempt measures quarterback fantasy points in the context of passing opportunities by dividing total fantasy points by passing attempts. However, hes 22.8 years old and never ranked higher than 4th on the team in receiving yards prior to last season, McMath was a one-year starter for LSU, understandably buried in the depth chart behind some elite WRs. Im still trying to figure out why my Pre-Combine model liked Anthony Schwartz so much (Pre-Combine WR11). How to read this: Mehki Becton is a 100th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete.. Quarterbacks with a high deep ball percentage generally play in vertical passing attacks as opposed to systems that emphasize short, quick passes. Target Quality combines catchable targets with average target depth putting a premium on deep, catchable targets and discounting shorter, uncatchable passes. Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. And again, athleticism doesnt matter anywhere near as much as college production, and Smiths numbers were off the charts in that regard. SPARQ does a great job of analyzing overall athleticism, but I showed how little it means for projecting NFL success here. Elijah Mitchell isnt too far behind (165.5), ranking 27th-best since 2000. His 7.26 3-Cone ranks 6th-slowest in this class, and is significantly slower than (for instance) Trey Sermons time (6.84), even though Sermon is 14 pounds heavier. Both are elite times at his size (61, 232 pounds). Target Separation -A receiver's average yards of separation from his assigned defender at the moment the pass arrives. Still, he ranks as my TE6 in this class, and Id consider taking him in Round 5 of a TE Premium Superflex rookie draft on the off chance hes the next Robert Tonyan. For wide receivers and tight ends, Air Yards are total target distance from the line of scrimmage to the catch point, and Completed Air Yards represents total receiving yards minus yards after the catch. Fantasy Points Per Opportunity measures running back fantasy points in the context of the players overall usage and playmaking prowess. Hayden Winks is an NFL and NFL Draft writer for NBC Sports Edge. The reason its not very helpful as a predictor is because its measuring overall athleticism, not the exact athletic traits a prospect needs to play his position in the NFL. If weight-adjusted, he ranks 2nd-best among TEs since 2000. And then theres another big tier drop, where everyone after that 2nd tier is even more uninspiring and unexciting. Donations like these helped give me the support I needed to provide online every player with a qualified RAS, but if we can get more then I may be able to set up the site to allow you to search more dynamically and even run cards of your own directly from the site. For reference, Speed Score, 40-time, and the 3-Cone (in order) were the three most important events for shorter WRs. This metric is a window into the vertically-oriented nature of a quarterbacks offensive system. Thanks for sharing. Okudah is clearly the top corner and will be among my top non-quarterback prospects this season C.J. Hunter Bryants scores really surprised me You can read my early scouting reports and statistical evals on the tight end class here. Elijah Mitchell and Travis Etienne both posted a broad jump of 128, which ranks 22nd-best since 2000. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Posted on Mar 5th, 2019, 10:34 AM, , User Since 259 months ago, User Post Count: 29456, Posted on Mar 5th, 2019, 10:40 AM, , User Since 78 months ago, User Post Count: 9104, Posted on Mar 5th, 2019, 11:37 AM, , User Since 244 months ago, User Post Count: 20405, Posted on Mar 5th, 2019, 11:46 AM, , User Since 233 months ago, User Post Count: 16596, Posted on Mar 6th, 2019, 4:29 PM, , User Since 196 months ago, User Post Count: 7023, Posted on Mar 6th, 2019, 4:46 PM, , User Since 259 months ago, User Post Count: 29456, Posted on Mar 6th, 2019, 5:00 PM, , User Since 196 months ago, User Post Count: 7023, Posted on Mar 6th, 2019, 6:05 PM, , User Since 232 months ago, User Post Count: 6179, Posted on Mar 22nd, 2019, 9:01 PM, , User Since 196 months ago, User Post Count: 7023, Posted on Mar 23rd, 2019, 5:56 AM, , User Since 99 months ago, User Post Count: 9691, Posted on Mar 23rd, 2019, 6:00 AM, , User Since 99 months ago, User Post Count: 9691, Posted on Mar 23rd, 2019, 7:21 AM, , User Since 257 months ago, User Post Count: 5745, Posted on Mar 23rd, 2019, 9:00 AM, , User Since 99 months ago, User Post Count: 9691, Posted on Mar 23rd, 2019, 9:38 AM, , User Since 130 months ago, User Post Count: 13510, Locked Topic - No more replies can be posted. projected upcoming or current year production is more heavily weighted than future seasons), which ensures that more productive older players are more valuable than significantly less productive younger players. His Pro Day info was critical, as well, pulling those numbers directly from NFL teams. Expected Points Added (EPA) measures the value of individual plays by calculating the expected points scored based on the down, distance, and field position situation at the start of a play and contrasting it with the situation at the end of the play. He led Stanford in receiving yards last season, recording over twice as many as the next-closest receiver (33.3% YMS). The SPARQ was not created to measure athleticism in NFL prospects. But no hes not anywhere close to becoming a replacement one day for Vince. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. Neither DeVonta Smith nor Jaylen Waddle participated in their workouts at the Alabama Pro Day. " Tremendous lower-body flexion for 45-degree edge bend ". And Smiths BMI is the 9th-lowest by any Combine WR since at least 2000, while Jackson ranks 40th-lowest. My Pre-Combine model did not like Nico Collins (WR15), but he has ideal size (6-4 and 215 lbs) and good athleticism (88.2 SPORQ score). Both Ryan Leaf and Rich Gannon scored a 27. WebDiscover the 2023 NFL Combine results here. Sage Surratt (ADP: WR20) posted a 3.2 SPORQ score. and this is a very comprehensive list. At the end of the day, Smith dropped a tier in my overall rankings but still ranks as my WR2 in this class. Now that the San Francisco 49ers have completed the 2017 NFL Draft, lets measure the athleticism of the 49ers new rookies using the pSPARQ scoring system. What is SPARQ? SPARQ is a rating system developed by Nike that is used to measure athleticism. SPARQ is an acronym for speed, power, agility, reaction and quickness.
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